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Watts Humphrey
Technical Report
CMU/SEI-2006-TR-017
PDF File
Some systems have some but not all properties of systems of systems (SoS).
We refer to these as SoS-like systems. This report reviews the fundamental
process and project-management problems of large-scale SoS-like programs and
outlines steps to address these problems. The report has eight sections.
Section 1 summarizes current thinking on the nature of future complex systems,
and Section 2 discusses the systems-design problems of the future,
particularly the partitioning of massive systems into system-of-systems
structures. Section 3 points out how large-scale systems development efforts
have typically failed because of project-management and not technical
problems, and that the solutions to these problems are known and highly
effective, but not widely practiced. It explains why, if the
project-management problems of the past are not promptly and effectively
addressed, large-scale systems development programs will likely be
unmanageable. Section 4 discusses the requirements for a scalable process, and
Section 5 both reviews and explains the quality-management principles upon
which any scalable process must rest. Section 6 reviews the nature of the
project-management problems currently faced by large-scale software-intensive
system development efforts and explains why attempts to scale up current
methods to very large-scale systems work will almost certainly fail. Section 7
describes process strategies for supporting development of a network-like
system of systems and it outlines the process and project-management topics
needing further research and development. Finally, Section 8 reviews the
process considerations for supporting the very large-scale integrated
development programs of the future. The report concludes that, unless steps
like those outlined in this report are taken in conjunction with continuing
technical research and development, the large-scale systems development
efforts of the future will almost certainly fail, and often
catastrophically.
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